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India attracts capital. Why can’t it keep it?

India's gross FDI is record-high, but net retention has plummeted to 8 cents on the dollar, a five-year decline. While officials offer varied interpretations, the author argues this is structural. Reasons include changing FDI composition, sectoral inversion towards software, a surge in Indian outbound investment, and weak domestic corporate capital expenditure. Government reforms address entry, not retention, which requires a "returns answer." The author suggests tracking FDI residence time and building industrial ecosystems. India is now a "river" for capital, with high volume but low accumulation, necessitating a focus on retention policy.

LiveMint · mint · Jun 17, 2026 at 7:57 AM

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